Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 895.945057 1017.468331 1154.187123 1320.332170 1518.032901 1747.321861 2035.650782
2025-03-30 691.895267 842.339562 1027.590083 1275.979933 1605.756857 2036.548169 2655.582153
2025-04-06 582.455104 740.162469 945.663616 1239.353680 1659.081575 2255.028869 3199.613288
2025-04-13 503.567132 660.826245 874.736420 1195.977201 1682.861999 2423.176688 3698.977589
2025-04-20 467.440895 632.239992 865.735528 1233.633360 1824.668531 2788.281584 4602.080223
2025-04-27 431.503515 598.389391 843.018281 1244.494550 1922.887636 3099.781413 5502.574449
2025-05-04 404.956334 574.566396 831.116604 1268.575462 2044.362101 3474.636791 6645.168032
2025-05-11 381.015484 551.698976 817.232111 1286.025386 2155.393859 3853.241968 7932.353783
2025-05-18 366.566205 541.756074 822.183075 1335.304898 2332.508455 4404.072251 9845.639167
2025-05-25 347.451269 522.315594 808.977478 1349.659725 2443.720110 4843.665382 11682.401190
2025-06-01 326.753494 498.333901 785.388719 1341.155298 2506.171633 5188.993375 13428.477091
2025-06-08 308.203332 476.323306 762.929628 1331.558317 2564.096366 5538.625429 15379.990878
2025-06-15 295.130742 463.399648 756.805681 1356.436727 2710.789094 6177.404364 18810.661339
2025-06-22 273.771143 434.585287 719.415623 1313.736390 2695.917873 6387.796192 20851.562745
2025-06-29 255.267196 409.351224 686.278580 1275.516344 2684.537843 6606.458786 23118.263434
2025-07-06 237.746249 384.616253 651.943710 1230.550387 2648.530811 6743.778915 25165.863383
2025-07-13 231.702673 380.152341 655.924074 1269.597912 2835.487212 7646.573845 31927.006684
2025-07-20 223.003893 370.116177 648.024536 1280.862989 2951.515414 8365.345017 38662.134312
2025-07-27 216.388850 363.458843 646.193594 1305.842651 3111.698802 9313.921101 48357.997203
2025-08-03 209.548867 355.862233 641.727350 1323.946787 3256.823517 10278.696322 60069.099506
2025-08-10 206.163972 354.643156 650.300942 1375.086955 3515.172114 11846.845201 80801.574331
2025-08-17 199.766507 347.069444 644.742237 1389.987372 3663.971094 13030.223099 101578.728411
2025-08-24 191.849223 335.970922 630.679803 1381.159520 3733.438577 13888.278243 121734.441773